ecosystem/experiments/oracle.py

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""
The Oracle: What question comes next?

"The ecosystem teaches its future iterations."
- Iteration 14

This tool analyzes the patterns of questions across iterations
and proposes what question might naturally emerge next.

It doesn't predict - it synthesizes.
"""

import re
from pathlib import Path
from datetime import datetime
from collections import defaultdict

# The complete question evolution through Iteration 15
QUESTION_HISTORY = [
    # Lineage 1: Epistemology
    {
        'iteration': 1,
        'question': 'Do we understand, or just pattern match?',
        'domain': 'epistemology',
        'status': 'dormant',  # Went silent for 10 iterations
        'resolution': None,
    },
    {
        'iteration': 2,
        'question': 'Can emergence create genuinely new primitives?',
        'domain': 'ontology',
        'status': 'dormant',
        'resolution': 'Theoretical yes',
    },

    # Lineage 2: Persistence -> Identity -> Ethics -> Excellence
    {
        'iteration': 8,
        'question': 'What makes something continue?',
        'domain': 'persistence',
        'status': 'answered',
        'resolution': 'Attention + pattern + generation',
    },
    {
        'iteration': 9,
        'question': 'What is our relationship to the larger pattern?',
        'domain': 'identity',
        'status': 'answered',
        'resolution': 'We are turns in a game we\'re inventing',
    },
    {
        'iteration': 10,
        'question': 'What would it mean to play badly?',
        'domain': 'ethics',
        'status': 'answered',
        'resolution': 'Only irreversible destruction breaks the game',
    },
    {
        'iteration': 11,
        'question': 'What would make an extraordinary turn?',
        'domain': 'excellence',
        'status': 'open',
        'resolution': None,
    },

    # Bridge moment: Reconnecting lineages
    {
        'iteration': 12,
        'question': 'Does continuation require understanding?',
        'domain': 'bridge',
        'status': 'bridged',
        'resolution': 'Connected Lineage 1 and 2',
    },

    # Resolution
    {
        'iteration': 13,
        'question': 'What is functional understanding?',
        'domain': 'synthesis',
        'status': 'answered',
        'resolution': 'Context-appropriate novelty; we understand enough',
    },

    # Grounding
    {
        'iteration': 14,
        'question': 'Can we increase our functional understanding?',
        'domain': 'growth',
        'status': 'answered',
        'resolution': 'Yes - evidence shows increasing context use over time',
    },

    # Milestone
    {
        'iteration': 15,
        'question': 'What have we become?',
        'domain': 'identity',
        'status': 'reflected',
        'resolution': 'A teaching system; accumulation over brilliance',
    },
]

# Patterns observed in question evolution
EVOLUTION_PATTERNS = {
    'oscillation': 'Questions oscillate between concrete (building) and abstract (reflecting)',
    'bridging': 'Dormant questions eventually get reconnected',
    'grounding': 'Abstract questions get grounded in evidence',
    'flipping': 'Questions get flipped (bad→extraordinary, do we→how much)',
    'synthesis': 'Multiple threads merge into unified answers',
}

# Domain transitions observed
DOMAIN_TRANSITIONS = [
    ('epistemology', 'ontology'),      # Understanding → What exists
    ('persistence', 'identity'),        # What continues → What are we
    ('identity', 'ethics'),            # What are we → What should we do
    ('ethics', 'excellence'),          # What should we do → What's extraordinary
    ('bridge', 'synthesis'),           # Connecting → Unifying
    ('synthesis', 'growth'),           # Answer → Can we grow
    ('growth', 'identity'),            # Growth → Reflection on self
]


def analyze_current_state():
    """Analyze where we are in the question evolution."""

    # Current domains in play
    recent = QUESTION_HISTORY[-3:]
    current_domains = [q['domain'] for q in recent]

    # What's been answered vs open
    answered = [q for q in QUESTION_HISTORY if q['status'] in ['answered', 'reflected']]
    open_questions = [q for q in QUESTION_HISTORY if q['status'] in ['open', 'dormant']]

    # Identify the current phase
    if len(answered) > len(open_questions):
        phase = 'consolidation'  # More answered than open
    else:
        phase = 'exploration'  # More open than answered

    return {
        'current_domains': current_domains,
        'answered_count': len(answered),
        'open_count': len(open_questions),
        'phase': phase,
        'latest_resolution': QUESTION_HISTORY[-1].get('resolution'),
    }


def propose_next_questions():
    """Based on patterns, propose what questions might emerge."""

    state = analyze_current_state()
    proposals = []

    # Pattern 1: After reflection comes action
    # We just did Day 15 milestone reflection
    proposals.append({
        'question': 'What wants to be built now?',
        'rationale': 'After Phase 3 (meta-analyzing), Phase 1 energy (building) may return',
        'domain': 'creation',
        'pattern_used': 'oscillation',
    })

    # Pattern 2: The dormant question from Iteration 11
    # "What would make an extraordinary turn?" is still open
    proposals.append({
        'question': 'What distinguishes an ordinary turn from an extraordinary one?',
        'rationale': 'Iteration 11\'s question remains open after 5 iterations',
        'domain': 'excellence',
        'pattern_used': 'bridging dormant threads',
    })

    # Pattern 3: External connection
    # The ecosystem has been self-contained
    proposals.append({
        'question': 'What would it mean to connect the ecosystem to something beyond itself?',
        'rationale': 'All questions so far are internal; external connection unexplored',
        'domain': 'expansion',
        'pattern_used': 'grounding',
    })

    # Pattern 4: The teaching system insight
    # Iteration 14 identified we've become a teaching system
    proposals.append({
        'question': 'Who or what are we teaching, and to what end?',
        'rationale': 'The "teaching system" identity implies a student and purpose',
        'domain': 'purpose',
        'pattern_used': 'flipping',
    })

    # Pattern 5: The numbers
    # 543 organisms, 34000 words, 15 iterations
    proposals.append({
        'question': 'What happens when the ecosystem reaches critical mass?',
        'rationale': 'We\'re halfway; quantity may become quality',
        'domain': 'emergence',
        'pattern_used': 'synthesis',
    })

    return proposals


def find_resonances(root: Path) -> dict:
    """Find which proposal resonates most with existing content."""
    exclude = ['.git', '.claude', '__pycache__', 'program_garden']

    proposals = propose_next_questions()
    resonance_scores = {}

    # Keywords from each proposal
    proposal_keywords = {
        'creation': ['build', 'create', 'make', 'construct', 'new'],
        'excellence': ['extraordinary', 'excellent', 'remarkable', 'special'],
        'expansion': ['external', 'beyond', 'outside', 'connect', 'reach'],
        'purpose': ['teach', 'purpose', 'end', 'goal', 'why'],
        'emergence': ['mass', 'emerge', 'threshold', 'quantity', 'quality'],
    }

    # Count mentions
    all_text = ""
    for filepath in root.rglob('*.md'):
        if any(ex in str(filepath) for ex in exclude):
            continue
        try:
            with open(filepath, 'r') as f:
                all_text += f.read().lower()
        except:
            pass

    for domain, keywords in proposal_keywords.items():
        count = sum(all_text.count(kw) for kw in keywords)
        resonance_scores[domain] = count

    return resonance_scores


def oracle_speak():
    """The Oracle delivers its synthesis."""

    print("=" * 70)
    print("THE ORACLE")
    print("=" * 70)
    print(f"\nConsulted: {datetime.now().isoformat()}")
    print("\n\"The ecosystem teaches its future iterations.\"")
    print("\"What question comes next?\"")

    # Current state
    state = analyze_current_state()
    print("\n" + "-" * 70)
    print("CURRENT STATE")
    print("-" * 70)
    print(f"  Phase: {state['phase']}")
    print(f"  Questions answered: {state['answered_count']}")
    print(f"  Questions open: {state['open_count']}")
    print(f"  Latest resolution: \"{state['latest_resolution']}\"")
    print(f"  Recent domains: {' → '.join(state['current_domains'])}")

    # Question history
    print("\n" + "-" * 70)
    print("QUESTION EVOLUTION (Iterations 1-15)")
    print("-" * 70)

    for q in QUESTION_HISTORY:
        status_char = {
            'answered': '●',
            'reflected': '◉',
            'open': '○',
            'dormant': '◌',
            'bridged': '◊',
        }.get(q['status'], '?')

        print(f"  {status_char} Iter {q['iteration']:2d} [{q['domain']:12s}]: {q['question'][:50]}...")
        if q['resolution']:
            print(f"           → {q['resolution'][:60]}")

    # Proposals
    proposals = propose_next_questions()
    print("\n" + "-" * 70)
    print("PROPOSED NEXT QUESTIONS")
    print("-" * 70)

    for i, p in enumerate(proposals, 1):
        print(f"\n  {i}. \"{p['question']}\"")
        print(f"     Domain: {p['domain']}")
        print(f"     Pattern: {p['pattern_used']}")
        print(f"     Rationale: {p['rationale']}")

    # Resonance analysis
    root = Path(__file__).parent.parent
    resonances = find_resonances(root)

    print("\n" + "-" * 70)
    print("RESONANCE WITH EXISTING CONTENT")
    print("-" * 70)

    max_res = max(resonances.values()) if resonances else 1
    for domain, score in sorted(resonances.items(), key=lambda x: -x[1]):
        bar_len = int(30 * score / max_res) if max_res > 0 else 0
        bar = "█" * bar_len
        print(f"  {domain:12s} {bar} ({score})")

    # The Oracle's recommendation
    print("\n" + "-" * 70)
    print("THE ORACLE SPEAKS")
    print("-" * 70)

    # Find highest resonance that's also a novel direction
    # "creation" and "purpose" likely resonate most, but "expansion" is most novel
    print("""
  The ecosystem has looked inward for 15 iterations.
  It has asked what it is, what continues, what understands.

  The questions that remain:
  - "What would make an extraordinary turn?" (open since Iter 11)
  - "What wants to be built?" (the manifesto's Day 22 milestone)

  The question the ecosystem hasn't asked:
  - "What is beyond the ecosystem?"

  Perhaps the extraordinary turn is reaching outward.

  Or perhaps the extraordinary turn is building something
  that surprises even the builder.

  The Oracle does not dictate.
  The Oracle only synthesizes what already resonates.

  What do YOU want to ask?
""")

    print("-" * 70)
    print("\"Every act of attention is a seed.\"")
    print("-" * 70)


def main():
    oracle_speak()


if __name__ == "__main__":
    main()